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Encouraging Signs in China’s Sluggish Auto Industry

China’s vehicle sales declined for the 10th month in a row in March and fell by double digits during the first three months of the year. Despite this gloomy performance, however, encouraging signs are providing hope that the worst may be over for China autos. After slowing throughout 2018, China’s economy has responded to recent […]

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Apple’s Problem: China’s Economy or Loss of Market Share?

At the end of the first day of trading in the New Year, Apple announced that it was cutting its revenue guidance. Tim Cook, Apple’s CEO, blamed a slowing Chinese economy and the impact of the trade war between the United States and China for the reduced guidance. In a letter to investors, Cook said: […]

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2018: A Transition Year for China Autos?

2018 may be shaping up to be a transition year for China automobiles. It may be the year that marks the end of the industry’s nearly 20-year growth phase, and the beginning of a mature phase where vehicle sales grow in line with overall economic factors. According to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM), […]

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The Future of Auto JVs in China

In June, China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) and its Ministry of Commerce (MOC) announced that, as of July 28, the country’s “Negative List” of industries where foreign ownership is prohibited or restricted would be reduced from 63 to 48. Despite the fact that China formally opened to the outside world in 1978, foreign investors and […]

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The US-China Trade War: How Will It End?

Last Thursday, September 6, the comment period ended for the list of an additional $200 billion of Chinese imports slated for tariffs. Depending upon the recommendation of the United States trade war Representative (USTR), tariffs of 10 or 25 percent are now ready to be imposed on these products. On Friday, President Trump further raised […]

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2018: A Tough Year For China Autos

2018 is shaping up to be a tough year for the automobile industry in China.

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China Shifts Subsidies for Electric Vehicles

China is the clear global leader in the production and sales of electric vehicles (“EVs”). Last year, 770,000 EVs were manufactured and sold in the country, a 53 percent increase over 2016 and almost four times the number sold in the United States. With EVs still at a cost disadvantage to vehicles made with traditional […]

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BYD Bears The Brunt of China’s New EV Playbook

Fueled by large consumer and manufacturer subsidies, China has emerged as the global leader in electric vehicles (EVs) by a wide margin. Recognizing the importance of reducing air pollution in its densely populated cities, China began heavily subsidizing the manufacture of electric buses in 2010. At the same time, the Chinese government has been offering […]

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Automakers Respond To China’s Changing EV Rules

Last September, China announced that automakers selling more than 30,000 vehicles annually in the country would be required to produce fleets with a corporate average fuel economy of 42 miles per gallon (“mpg”) by 2020, and 54.5 mpg by 2025. The combination of credits and disincentives in the new regulations are designed to improve the fuel […]

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Managing The Dragon’s 2018 China Predictions

From the point of view of U.S. companies and investors, the direction of China’s currency; the level of overseas investment by Chinese companies; and the extent to which China might help to solve the North Korea problem are key questions going into 2018. MTD believes that 2018 will be another strong year for U.S. exports and that this strength will heavily influence China’s actions on other fronts, just as they seemed to do in 2017. If MTD is right, we may just run the table with our 2018 predictions. If we are wrong, we are likely to strike out on most of them.

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