Managing The Dragon’s 2019 Predictions

“If you are going to be a bear, be a grizzly,” my father used to tell me. That’s the way I feel about going into 2019 with my five predictions for the New Year. Four of the five are dependent to a greater or lesser degree on the trade war between the United States and […]

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Apple’s Problem: China’s Economy or Loss of Market Share?

At the end of the first day of trading in the New Year, Apple announced that it was cutting its revenue guidance. Tim Cook, Apple’s CEO, blamed a slowing Chinese economy and the impact of the trade war between the United States and China for the reduced guidance. In a letter to investors, Cook said: […]

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2018 Predictions: How Did We Do?

Despite the volatility of 2018, Managing The Dragon (MTD) fared pretty well on its predictions for the year. Of the five predictions made on January 23, four — growth in China’s exports to the United States; the pace of overseas acquisitions by Chinese companies; tensions on the Korean Peninsula and sales of New Energy Vehicles (NEVs ) — played out more or less as MTD predicted.

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The Trade War Truce — Who Benefits?

The answer might surprise you. Two of Germany’s largest car makers stand to be immediate beneficiaries of a reduction in trade tensions between the United States and China. Currently, the United States exports more cars to China than China exports to the United States, and BMW AG and Daimler AG lead the way with their […]

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2018: A Transition Year for China Autos?

2018 may be shaping up to be a transition year for China automobiles. It may be the year that marks the end of the industry’s nearly 20-year growth phase, and the beginning of a mature phase where vehicle sales grow in line with overall economic factors. According to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM), […]

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Happy Thanksgiving to MTD’s Readers

Having lived in China for most of the past 25 years, one question I’m frequently asked isIMG_3930: “What about the United States do you miss most?”

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The Future of Auto JVs in China

In June, China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) and its Ministry of Commerce (MOC) announced that, as of July 28, the country’s “Negative List” of industries where foreign ownership is prohibited or restricted would be reduced from 63 to 48. Despite the fact that China formally opened to the outside world in 1978, foreign investors and […]

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China’s Heavy-Duty Truck Market

In what is turning out to be a very difficult year for China’s motor vehicle industry, one bright spot is the country’s truck industry.

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The US-China Trade War: How Will It End?

Last Thursday, September 6, the comment period ended for the list of an additional $200 billion of Chinese imports slated for tariffs. Depending upon the recommendation of the United States trade war Representative (USTR), tariffs of 10 or 25 percent are now ready to be imposed on these products. On Friday, President Trump further raised […]

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2018: A Tough Year For China Autos

2018 is shaping up to be a tough year for the automobile industry in China.

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